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TOHO lifts net profit forecast to ¥48bn on share sale, leaves operating outlook untouched

TOHO lifted its full-year net profit forecast to ¥48bn from ¥41bn after selling investment securities, while keeping revenue at ¥345bn and operating profit at ¥62bn, and left the year-end dividend under review.

By Tokyo Brief DeskOct 15, 20263 min readTOHO CO., LTD.9602
Editorial illustration of stacked share blocks shrinking while coins flow into a rising ledger bar, with cinema seats and a film reel unchanged behind them.

TOHO raised its forecast for profit attributable to owners of the parent for the year to February 2027 to ¥48.0bn from ¥41.0bn, a 17.1% increase, and gave a single reason: a partial sale of investment securities. Revenue (¥345.0bn), operating profit (¥62.0bn) and ordinary profit (¥67.0bn) stay where the company set them on April 14.

TOHO full-year forecast, before and after
Year to February 2027, consolidated. Previous forecast dated April 14, 2026; revision dated October 15, 2026. Per-share figures on post-split basis.
ItemPrevious forecastRevised forecast
Revenue¥345.0bn¥345.0bn
Operating profit¥62.0bn¥62.0bn
Ordinary profit¥67.0bn¥67.0bn
Net profit attributable to owners of the parent¥41.0bn¥48.0bn
Net profit per share¥48.85¥57.62

What the revision rests on

The board's notice ties the change to the sale of some investment securities in the third quarter of the current fiscal year. It does not give the size of the gain. TOHO's half-year report, filed the same day, fills that in: the board decided on September 15, 2026 to sell part of its listed holdings under its policy of reducing strategic shareholdings, and the sale carries a gain of ¥11.1bn. The notice does not bridge that gain to the ¥7.0bn increase in the forecast. See Earlier Tokyo Brief coverage.

The per-share forecast rises to ¥57.62 from ¥48.85. Both figures are stated as if the 5-for-1 share split of March 1, 2026 had taken effect at the start of the prior fiscal year.

The operating picture has not changed

The first half was weaker than the new full-year net profit number suggests. For the six months to August 31, revenue was ¥185.2bn, down 3.4%, operating profit ¥30.9bn, down 24.8%, and net profit ¥20.0bn, down 40.2%. The prior-year half had included an ¥8.9bn gain on sales of investment securities; this year's half has none.

TOHO's results presentation says the first half was broadly on plan. It says the company held the other guidance lines because it is watching how big second-half releases open. The film Godzilla Minus Zero is due to open in Japan on November 3.

Even after the raise, the ¥48.0bn net profit forecast is 7.3% below the prior year, and the ¥62.0bn operating profit forecast is 8.7% below it. The upgrade comes from a one-off disposal of securities, not from a stronger view of the film, anime or property businesses.

Dividend still open

The notice says TOHO will keep considering the year-end dividend under its shareholder-return policy: a floor of ¥17 a year and a payout ratio of at least 35%. It does not announce an increase. The board has set an interim dividend of ¥11.00 per share, with payment starting November 20.

The presentation says TOHO intends to cut the book value of its strategic holdings by more than ¥50bn by the end of the fiscal year to February 2030, giving sale proceeds priority for growth investment while also using them as a source for shareholder returns.