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Issue 2026-08-05Aug 5, 2026

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IHI's Real Record Hides Behind a Property Sale

IHI's headline profit jumped on a ¥40bn property sale, but strip that out and its aerospace business still posted a record first quarter on its own. Elsewhere, a BOJ governor skips his own meeting and steelmakers finally get a number.

MARKETS

Market pulse

As of: August 5, 2026 JST
Nikkei 22566,300.44+3.66%
TOPIX4,046.17+2.13%
JPX Prime 150 Index1,692.25+1.81%
USD/JPY157.73-0.06%
10Y JGB yield2.848%+2.4 bps

Tokyo equities advanced while the 10Y JGB yield nudged higher.

Sourced from Nikkei, JPX, BOJ, MOF - values, not commentary.

lead

IHI Posts a Record Quarter Even Before the Land Sale Kicks In

Editorial illustration of aircraft engine spare parts on a maintenance stand with a faint yen ledger overlay in the background.

IHI's Underlying Profit Hits a Quarterly Record Before Property Sales Are Even Counted

IHI's operating profit for the quarter to June rose to ¥73.2bn from ¥20.9bn a year earlier, and a ¥40.0bn gain from property sales did much of the lifting. Strip that gain out and operating profit still came to ¥33.1bn, up ¥12.3bn on the year and, by the company's own account, a record for a first quarter. Revenue for the three months rose 10.9% to ¥374.5bn, and net profit attributable to shareholders climbed to ¥53.5bn from ¥11.6bn.

Why it matters: The headline jump owes a lot to real estate, but the underlying number is the more interesting one: a record first-quarter operating profit even before the property gain is counted, pointing to genuine demand in IHI's civil-aerospace aftermarket business.

What to watch: IHI lifted its full-year operating-profit forecast by ¥10.0bn to a record ¥250.0bn, crediting continued aftermarket demand alongside this quarter's property sales. The next test is whether the underlying business keeps setting records once the one-off gains roll off.

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secondary

Policy Desk: BOJ Minutes and an FSA Shake-Up

Illustration of a shrinking stack of government bond certificates next to a gauge needle resting just above zero point seven percent, representing the Bank of Japan's bond-purchase taper and overnight interest rate.

Bank of Japan Minutes Show Ueda Absent, Bond Taper Held to ¥2.7tn a Month

The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its June 15-16 policy meeting on August 5, and the most striking line has nothing to do with rates: Governor Kazuo Ueda did not attend. Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino chaired in his place, and Ueda submitted a written opinion through the chairman rather than take part in the discussion himself, a mechanism the Policy Board's own rules allow.

What to watch: The substance stayed on script — the Bank kept trimming bond purchases, holding the taper at roughly ¥2.7tn a month, and left the overnight call rate parked just above 0.72%. The absence, not the policy, is what will get talked about at trading desks this week.

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Abstract diagram of interlocking geometric blocks representing a financial regulator's organizational chart, showing one bureau splitting into two with a small new division branching off.

Japan's FSA Splits Its Main Supervisory Bureau, Adds a Crypto and Stablecoin Division

Japan's Financial Services Agency will dissolve its Comprehensive Policy Bureau and Supervisory Bureau, rebuilding them into a Banking and Securities Supervisory Bureau and an Asset Management and Insurance Supervisory Bureau, effective August 7. The split separates deposit-taking and market-intermediary oversight from the funds, pensions and insurance side of the agency's work.

What changed: The agency is also carving out a standalone division for cryptoassets and stablecoins, a first for the FSA's organizational chart.

Why it matters: Firms with pending filings or supervisory relationships need to track which new bureau now handles their business; the agency frames the split as part of a broader push to position Japan as an asset-management hub while keeping pace with digital-finance developments.

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secondary

Earnings Season: Raises, a Cut, and a Withdrawal

Illustration of factory automation equipment and sensors next to a data-center battery rack, representing the industrial demand behind Omron's earnings upgrade.

Omron Raises Full-Year Profit Outlook 29% on AI Chip and Battery Demand

Omron raised its full-year profit target 29% after a first quarter in which AI-linked chip and data-center orders sharply lifted operating profit at its industrial-automation unit. The Kyoto-based sensor and controls maker now expects operating profit of ¥80.0bn for the year to March 2027, up from an initial plan of ¥62.0bn, and lifted its revenue target to ¥880.0bn from ¥820.0bn and net profit forecast to ¥40.5bn from ¥27.5bn.

Why it matters: Orders from AI semiconductor and secondary-battery customers drove the swing, giving factory-automation investors a concrete read on how fast AI-linked capital spending is moving through the supply chain.

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Vials of injectable cancer medicine move along a sterile pharmaceutical manufacturing line.

Astellas's Cancer Drugs and a Weak Yen Combine to Nearly Double Quarterly Profit

Astellas Pharma's results for the three months to June 30 show a company running well ahead of its own annual targets: revenue rose 26.7% to ¥640.9bn, core operating profit jumped 55.6% to ¥221.4bn, and core operating margin climbed 6.4 percentage points to 34.5%. Net profit attributable to shareholders more than doubled, up 107.3% to ¥141.8bn.

The catch: A weaker yen added roughly ¥60bn to quarterly revenue, but strong sales of PADCEV and newer cancer drugs did the rest of the work — and management is still not raising its full-year forecast, leaving the question of how much of this quarter repeats.

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Suzuki Cuts Operating-Profit Forecast Even as Sales and Net-Income Targets Rise

Suzuki Motor's board delivered a case study in how one cost line can outrun everything else management controls. In revising guidance for the year to March 2027, the automaker raised its sales forecast to ¥6.90tn and net-profit forecast to ¥420.0bn, but cut its operating-profit target to ¥540.0bn.

Why it matters: Suzuki expects Middle East-driven raw-material inflation to outweigh an ¥80.0bn boost from a weaker yen and operational improvements — a reminder that currency tailwinds and cost-cutting can still lose to commodity swings tied to geopolitics.

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SUBARU's Profit Falls to ¥42.6bn Even as Quarterly Revenue Climbs to ¥1.25tn

Subaru's revenue rose to ¥1.25tn in the quarter to June 2026, from ¥1.21tn a year earlier, but operating profit fell ¥33.8bn to ¥42.6bn. Sales incentives rose ¥24.9bn as the company leaned harder on discounts to move inventory.

The catch: A cut in the US auto tariff rate eased cost pressure by ¥32.9bn, but that relief wasn't enough to offset the incentive spending and raw-material costs. Management still calls the quarter steady progress toward an unchanged full-year target of ¥150.0bn.

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Nippon Paper Withdraws Full-Year Outlook After Fatal US Tank Collapse and Kumamoto Quake

Nippon Paper withdrew its full-year earnings forecast for the year to March 2027, telling investors on August 5 it cannot yet calculate the financial damage from two disasters that knocked out production on opposite sides of the Pacific: a fatal tank collapse at its Washington-state unit and earthquake damage that shut its Kumamoto mill.

What to watch: The withdrawn guidance pulls a ¥1.22tn sales forecast off the table, and the company has not said when a replacement number will arrive — leaving investors without a baseline until the damage assessment is done.

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JFE Fills In a Blank First-Half Profit Forecast, Fixes ¥80 Dividend

JFE Holdings told the Tokyo Stock Exchange on August 5 that it now expects revenue of ¥2.38tn, business profit of ¥90.0bn, pretax profit of ¥85.0bn and profit attributable to owners of ¥65.0bn for the six months to the end of September — more than double the ¥26.7bn it earned over the same six months a year earlier. None of those figures existed in the plan JFE published on May 8, when the company left the first-half line undecided.

The number: The new guide also fixes an ¥80 annual dividend, split ¥40 and ¥40, and comes alongside a roughly ¥45bn land sale at the Kawasaki steelworks — proceeds the company can now put a figure on rather than a placeholder.

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quick hits

More to Know

  • Kao Raises Full-Year Profit Forecast After a Land Sale Flattered the First Half

    Kao's first-half operating profit rose 38.5% to ¥95.8bn, with ¥11.5bn of that from a land sale tied to a logistics overhaul; even excluding the gain, profit was the strongest since 2019, and the company raised its full-year operating-profit target to ¥190bn from ¥182bn.

    Read more
  • NYK Raises Full-Year Dividend Forecast to ¥240 a Share

    Nippon Yusen raised its interim and year-end dividend forecasts by ¥20 each, taking the full-year payout to ¥240 per share, ¥40 above the plan it set in May and ¥10 above last year's actual dividend.

    Read more
  • Okuma Lifts Order Forecast to ¥276bn, Raises Profit and Dividend Guidance

    Okuma's record ¥75.3bn in first-quarter orders, up 38.9% year on year, is feeding through to a full-year profit forecast now 53.8% higher and an annual dividend raised to ¥120 a share from ¥100.

    Read more
  • Nitto Boseki Raises Profit Outlook as AI-Server Glass Demand Lifts Q1 Earnings

    Nitto Boseki's operating profit jumped 84.8% in the June quarter and the company raised its full-year forecast to ¥30.0bn, crediting demand for specialty glass used in AI servers and semiconductor package substrates.

    Read more
  • Hirose Electric Raises Profit Guidance After a Strong Quarter, Flags a Transfer-Pricing Tax Bill

    Sales at the Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed connector maker rose 26.8% and operating profit jumped 35.6% in the quarter to June, but net profit rose just 1.4% after a corporate-tax increase tied to a transfer-pricing assessment, even as management lifted its full-year outlook.

    Read more
  • Hakuhodo DY's Domestic Ad Business Booms on Tech and Finance Spending, but North America Still Drags

    Hakuhodo DY's operating profit jumped 19.4% in the quarter to June on strong Japanese finance and tech ad spending, but its North American business stayed weak enough to widen the overseas unit's operating loss to ¥3.75bn, and full-year guidance was left unchanged.

    Read more
  • Japan Drafts Wider Interference Coordination Rules for High-Altitude Base Stations

    Tokyo's communications ministry is taking comment until September 8 on rules that would add earth-observation and space-research satellites to the interference checklist for high-altitude base stations, on top of existing rocket-launch coordination duties.

    Read more
  • Oncolys's Esophageal Cancer Virus Therapy Reaches Japan's Drug Pricing Panel

    Japan's health ministry has put the pricing of Oncolys BioPharma's newly approved esophageal cancer therapy on the agenda for the Chuikyo panel that deliberates national insurance drug prices, with the company still targeting a launch within the current fiscal year even as the earnings impact stays under review.

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  • JMDC's Pharma-Data Rebound Pushes First-Quarter Profit Up 17%, Prompts Rare Half-Year Forecast

    JMDC's April-June profit rose 17% on faster-than-planned pharma demand for its health data, and the company broke its own rule against forecasting the first half, even as it keeps its full-year target unchanged.

    Read more