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JFE Fills In a Blank First-Half Profit Forecast, Fixes ¥80 Dividend

JFE Holdings has replaced the undecided first-half guidance it published in May with hard numbers: ¥65bn in profit, more than double last year's ¥26.7bn, alongside a fixed ¥40-and-¥40 dividend split and a roughly ¥45bn land sale at its Kawasaki steelworks.

Aug 5, 20263 min readJFE Holdings,Inc.5411
Illustration of a former steel-mill raw-material yard on a Japanese waterfront being cleared for logistics warehouses, with stacked steel coils and industrial cranes in the background.

JFE Holdings (TSE: 5411) told the Tokyo Stock Exchange on August 5 that it now expects revenue of ¥2.38tn, business profit of ¥90.0bn, pretax profit of ¥85.0bn and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥65.0bn for the six months to the end of September, with basic earnings per share guided at ¥102.18. None of those figures existed in the plan JFE published on May 8: the company had left the first-half line undecided and said only that a forecast would follow once one was available. The new guide would be more than double the ¥26.7bn JFE earned over the same six months a year earlier.

The comparison looks steep across every headline line.

First-Half Guidance vs. Prior-Year Actual
Six months to September 30; new forecast per JFE's August 5 disclosure, prior-year figures as reported.
MetricNew H1 ForecastPrior-Year H1 Actual
Revenue¥2.38tn¥2.23tn
Business profit¥90.0bn¥45.8bn
Pretax profit¥85.0bn¥34.2bn
Attributable profit¥65.0bn¥26.7bn
Basic EPS¥102.18¥41.94

JFE's board also fixed the split of the ¥80-a-share annual dividend it had already flagged: ¥40 at the interim mark and ¥40 at year-end, unchanged from last year's payout and consistent with the payout policy under its eighth medium-term plan. The full-year targets behind that dividend, ¥150.0bn in net profit on ¥4.85tn of revenue, were left unchanged from the outlook JFE gave alongside its first-quarter results.

The building blocks for the new guide showed up in the quarter to June 30, when JFE reported business profit of ¥32.3bn, nearly double the year-earlier figure, on revenue of ¥1.16tn. Profit attributable to owners of the parent, at ¥31.2bn, was more than four times higher, helped in part by a ¥15.0bn gain from a separate land sale. JFE says it is absorbing about ¥60.0bn of extra costs this year tied to Middle East tensions, of which ¥15.0bn hit the first quarter, and is countering that with steel-price increases: a ¥10,000-per-tonne rise achieved in the first half and a further ¥5,000-per-tonne rise it is targeting.

On the same day, JFE Steel signed a contract to sell about 182,000 square metres of a disused raw-material yard at its Keihin works in Kawasaki, part of a broader plan to convert the waterfront site into a next-generation logistics hub. JFE expects total gains of roughly ¥45.0bn from the sale, split across four transfers running from the year ending March 2028 through the year ending March 2036, with about ¥23.0bn landing in the first tranche. The buyer remains undisclosed - JFE says only that it is a domestic company with no capital, personnel or trading ties to JFE - and the two sides plan a detailed release and a joint press conference from late August onward.

That land sale is separate from the ¥15.0bn gain already booked in the June quarter, and neither is embedded in the newly disclosed first-half profit line, which JFE attributes to steel-segment recovery and contributions from its Indian operations rather than one-off property sales.