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Strike Group lifts profit forecast by a quarter on bigger M&A deals

Strike Group now expects ¥7.14bn of net profit for the year to September, 25.3% above its August forecast, as more M&A mandates closed and the value per deal rose; results are due on 30 October.

Two bar charts, the second taller, beside interlocking tabs suggesting a closed deal.

Strike Group, the Tokyo-listed M&A advisory firm, raised its full-year forecast, revising the guidance it published on 28 August. Its forecast revision notice puts net profit attributable to owners of the parent at ¥7.14bn for the year ending September 2026, up 25.3% from the ¥5.70bn it set on 28 August.

What moved

Revenue is now expected at ¥27.08bn, up 10.5% from the previous ¥24.50bn. Operating profit is forecast at ¥10.40bn against ¥8.30bn before, a rise of 25.3%. Ordinary profit is put at ¥10.42bn, also from ¥8.30bn, up 25.5%. Earnings per share are forecast at ¥123.93, compared with ¥98.94 in the earlier guide.

Profit is rising far faster than revenue. The company says margins improved as sales increased.

Management's explanation

Strike said closings had been piling up since the third quarter at a level above the first half. Since the 28 August revision, deals have kept moving smoothly and the number of closings has exceeded expectations. Several large transactions also closed, and the value per deal rose.

The dividend forecast is unchanged.

Caveats

All figures are guidance, not reported results. The notice says they rest on information the company now holds and assumptions it considers reasonable, and that actual results may differ. The company did not consolidate its accounts for the year to September 2025, so the notice gives no prior-year consolidated comparison. All the percentage increases are against the company's own previous forecast.

Strike plans to announce full-year results on 30 October 2026, which will show how far the forecast holds.