Hitachi’s investor-day case rests on faster cash generation and stricter capital rules
Ahead of its June 10 investor day, the company is telling investors to judge the story on core free cash flow first: the CFO deck shows core free cash flow excluding large advance payments growing at a 28% annual rate from 2024 to 2026, with conversion moving from 83% to 103% and then 100%. It also says at least half of core free cash flow and net income should go to shareholders over the medium to long term, with dividends first, then growth investment or buybacks, then debt repayment. The sector decks are there to justify the discipline rather than replace it. Digital Systems & Services is pitching AI-related sales growth of 20% to 25% a year through 2027, while Energy says it has lifted its 2027 ambitions after record orders and now wants revenue growth of 15% to 17% a year with adjusted EBITA above 14%. These are investor-day materials, not results, but the message is clear enough: Hitachi wants the market to believe tighter capital rules can make a sprawling industrial portfolio look more like a system.