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Fan Communications Scraps Its Three-Year Targets as AI Search Bites the Ad Business

Fan Communications cut its full-year profit forecast by 52% and scrapped its three-year plan, tracing the damage to generative-AI search tools that are cutting traffic to the affiliate sites carrying its ads.

Aug 10, 20263 min readFAN Communications Inc.2461
Abstract illustration of thinning data streams flowing from a stylized search interface toward a shrinking cluster of website tiles, symbolizing declining affiliate-site traffic.

Fan Communications Inc., the Tokyo Prime Market operator of the A8.net affiliate advertising platform, withdrew the three-year profit targets in its 2025-2027 medium-term plan on August 10, the same day it cut its full-year earnings guidance. The plan had set a target of ¥3.0bn in consolidated operating profit and a return on equity of at least 10.0% for the year ending December 2027; the board concluded it could no longer reasonably estimate whether those numbers were achievable.

The cut is steep. Fan Communications now expects full-year sales of ¥7.33bn, down 6.0% from the ¥7.8bn it had forecast on February 9, operating profit of ¥1.2bn, down 44.9% from ¥2.18bn, and net profit attributable to owners of ¥687mn, down 52.0% from ¥1.43bn.

Fan Communications' revised full-year forecast (year to December 2026)
Figures from the company's August 10, 2026 revision notice; prior forecast dated February 9, 2026.
MetricPrevious forecastRevised forecastChange
Net sales¥7.8bn¥7.33bn-6.0%
Operating profit¥2.18bn¥1.2bn-44.9%
Ordinary profit¥2.2bn¥1.18bn-46.3%
Net profit (attributable to owners)¥1.43bn¥687mn-52.0%

The pressure showed up first in the half-year numbers. Operating profit for the six months to June came in at ¥489mn, 45.0% below the company's own February forecast of ¥890mn, and net profit of ¥198mn missed that forecast by 63.2%. Against the same period a year earlier, sales fell 5.8% to ¥3.43bn, operating profit fell 54.0% and net profit fell 71.3%.

Management traces the shortfall to its core CPA Solutions segment, where half-year sales fell 17.0% to ¥2.48bn and segment profit fell 19.8% to ¥1.61bn. The number of active advertiser accounts on A8.net fell to 2,965 at the end of June from 3,084 at the end of last December, even as registered partner sites rose to nearly 3.69 million from 3.62 million over the same stretch. The company points to a specific cause: the spread of generative-AI search features such as AI Overview, which let users get answers without clicking through to a website, is reducing organic traffic to the SEO-dependent affiliate sites that carry its ads. Management calls the shift structural and says it now spans a broader range of age groups than an earlier, narrower shift when younger users moved toward social-media search.

The strategic business meant to offset that decline is not yet pulling its weight. The segment, which spans fan marketing, influencer marketing, LINE marketing and game publishing, grew sales 45.1% to ¥953mn but widened its loss to ¥472mn from ¥330mn a year earlier, partly reflecting rising costs at the game-publishing unit. Fan Communications says building a recurring, "stock-type" revenue base in this segment is taking longer than planned, and that it is this timing problem, not a change in direction, that led it to pull the multi-year targets.

The company says nothing else changes: it will keep pursuing the growth strategy set out in the now-withdrawn plan, and its shareholder-return policy, a dividend-on-equity ratio of roughly 8% through the year to December 2027 plus flexible buybacks, stands. The interim dividend of ¥10.50 a share is unchanged and the full-year forecast remains ¥21.00. The withdrawal notice does not set a date for a successor plan; it states only that the strategic direction behind the old one still holds.