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Saijo forecasts 74.4% operating profit rise as fresh food and fewer markdowns offset softer volumes

Sales are seen rising just 2% in the year to August 2026, but the newly listed retailer says stronger fresh-food demand and leaner inventory should lift gross profit even as shoppers buy fewer items.

Jun 29, 20262 min read
Editorial illustration of retail shelves with food and household goods, price labels and simple chart shapes suggesting higher costs and improving profit.

Saijo is guiding for a much sharper rise in profit than in sales in the year to August 2026. In the disclosure released alongside its June 29 TOKYO PRO Market listing, the retailer forecast sales up 2.0% to ¥14.729bn and operating profit up 74.4% to ¥144mn, saying stronger fresh-food sales and tighter inventory should reduce markdown pressure even as items sold and customer counts decline.

Saijo outlook and interim snapshot
Source: Saijo TDnet disclosure. No year-earlier first-half comparison is available because the company did not prepare interim financial statements for that period.
MetricYear to Aug. 2026 forecastYear to Aug. 2025 actualSix months to Feb. 2026
Sales¥14.729bn¥14.442bn¥7.173bn
Operating profit¥144mn¥83mn¥79mn
Ordinary profit¥186mn¥171mn¥121mn
Net profit¥120mn¥27mn¥77mn
Dividend per share¥3.50¥3.50¥0.00

Higher prices, lower volumes

Management describes the backdrop in plain terms. Prices per item and spending per customer are rising, but sales volumes and customer numbers are falling as shoppers become more frugal. Saijo says clothing and home-related goods are slightly weaker, while fresh food is growing faster and contributing to both sales and gross profit. Inventory reductions are also helping limit price cuts.

Costs are still rising

The company is not describing an easy year. Saijo says labour costs are running above plan because it is adding staff to fresh-food sections to improve product supply. Listing-related expenses are rising, and higher electricity and gas charges are pushing up utilities. Even so, the full-year forecast still puts selling, general and administrative expenses at ¥3.63bn, down 0.4% from the previous year, with ordinary profit at ¥186mn and net profit at ¥120mn. That net profit figure includes an expected ¥32mn loss on a land sale.

What the first-half numbers show, and what they do not

For the six months to February 2026, Saijo reported sales of ¥7.173bn, operating profit of ¥79mn, ordinary profit of ¥121mn and net profit of ¥77mn. Total assets were ¥10.572bn and net assets were ¥5.124bn, lifting the equity ratio to 48.5% from 47.8% at the previous year-end. The company also kept its annual dividend forecast at ¥3.50 per share.

There are two important caveats. Saijo says it did not prepare interim financial statements for the comparable period a year earlier, so the filing provides no official year-on-year comparison for the half-year figures. It also says the interim earnings release was not reviewed by a certified public accountant or audit firm.