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Regional banks got a rate boost, but the bond book still hurt

Regional lenders got more help from rates than from markets. FSA data show aggregate net profit rose 38% in the year to March 2026, with net interest income up to 49,747 in the agency's JPY 100mn units and loans outstanding reaching JPY 349.1tn, but bond-related gains and losses worsened to -11,557 and the domestic-standard capital ratio edged down to 10.16%. The bad-loan ratio did improve to 1.54% from 1.64%, which is encouraging but still only an aggregate comfort blanket.

Jun 10, 20262 min read
Editorial illustration of stronger lending income offset by losses on bond sales at regional banks.

Japan’s regional banks got more of the upside from a higher-rate environment in the year to March 2026, but they did not get a clean escape from the securities losses built up in earlier years. Aggregate net profit rose 38%, with the Financial Services Agency saying higher net interest income and bigger gains on stock sales more than offset increased losses on sales of government and other bonds, plus higher expenses.

Regional bank scorecard
FSA aggregate figures, rounded. Profit items are in the report’s ¥100mn units. Coverage changed from 98 banks to 97 banks year on year.
MetricYear to March 2025Year to March 2026
Net profit13,088 (¥100mn)18,043 (¥100mn)
Net interest income42,367 (¥100mn)49,747 (¥100mn)
Bond-related gains/losses▲4,750 (¥100mn)▲11,557 (¥100mn)
Core operating profit19,582 (¥100mn)26,368 (¥100mn)
Loans outstanding333.2 trillion yen349.1 trillion yen
Bad loans5.5 trillion yen5.4 trillion yen
Bad-loan ratio1.64%1.54%
International total capital ratio13.45%13.90%
Domestic capital ratio10.23%10.16%

Core banking is doing more of the work

The clearest improvement was in spread income. Net interest income rose to 49,747 in the report’s ¥100mn units, from 42,367 a year earlier. Core operating profit climbed to 26,368 from 19,582. Loan balances also kept expanding, ending March at 349.1 trillion yen versus 333.2 trillion yen a year earlier. For regional lenders, that combination matters more than the headline flourish: the basic banking business is finally contributing more of the result.

The securities book is still the awkward bit

The catch is that the market side of the balance sheet remained painful. Bond-related gains and losses worsened to ▲11,557 from ▲4,750, and other operating profit fell further into the red at ▲11,328. Expenses also increased to ▲30,886 from ▲29,292. That helps explain why net operating profit before credit costs was almost unchanged, at 14,812 versus 14,833, even though core operating profit improved sharply. Higher rates are helping, but the bond book is not letting the story become too tidy.

Credit looks better, capital is mixed

The FSA’s headline asset-quality measures improved. Bad loans fell to 5.4 trillion yen from 5.5 trillion yen, and the bad-loan ratio eased to 1.54% from 1.64%. That is encouraging, but it remains aggregate data rather than a guarantee that credit risk has vanished.

Capital ratios also split along regulatory lines. For internationally active regional banks, total capital ratio rose to 13.90% from 13.45%, Tier 1 to 13.60% from 13.20%, and common equity Tier 1 to 13.54% from 13.16%. For domestic-standard banks, though, the capital ratio slipped to 10.16% from 10.23%.

One footnote matters. The FSA says the figures are rounded, and the aggregation covered 97 banks in the latest year, down from 98 a year earlier and 100 two years earlier. So the direction is clear enough: regional lenders are getting a rate tailwind through earnings and loan growth. The exact year-on-year comparisons deserve that small but important asterisk.

Regional banks got a rate boost, but the bond book still hurt | Tokyo Brief